Tantris » Fr 14. Nov 2014, 16:24 hat geschrieben:
Ich bin gegen die todesstrafe, selbst bei verbrechern derartigen kalibers.
Mir würde es schon genügen, wenn wegen ihm niemand mehr sterben muss und niemand gefoltert wird. Wenn die mütter der russischen soldaten, die wissen wollen, was aus ihren söhnen wurde, nicht mehr zu ausländischen agenten erklärt werden...
Wie weit muss das öl noch fallen, damit sich putin keine kriege mehr leisten kann?
Der Budget Break Even Point für Russland liegt bei ungefähr 100$. Aber es hat noch Geldreserven.
For Russia the impact will be less dramatic, at least at first. Its draft budget for 2015 assumes oil at $100 a barrel; below that, it will be harder for Vladimir Putin, the president, to keep his spending promises. Something similar happened when the oil price fell in the mid-1980s, leaving the indebted Soviet Union cash-strapped.
But Russia now has reserves of $454 billion to cushion against oil-price fluctuations. More important, the rouble has fallen. Next year’s budget assumes a dollar is worth 37 roubles, so it balances with oil at 3,700 roubles. A barrel currently costs 3,600 roubles (a much smaller fall than the dollar price), because the currency has plunged 20% this year. With oil at $80-85 a barrel Russia would probably run a budget deficit of only about 1% of GDP next year.
Dem Iran schadet der niedrige Ölpreis noch mehr.
Iran is even more vulnerable than Venezuela. It needs oil at $136 a barrel to finance its spending plans, most of them inherited from the profligate and inefficient government of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Last year it spent $100 billion on consumer subsidies, about 25% of GDP. Sanctions mean it cannot borrow its way out of trouble
Der Artikel hat eine gute Grafik die alle Budget-Oil Breakeven Points anzeigt.
http://www.economist.com/news/internati ... nt-critics
